Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel United Statistics & Analysis

Waasland-Beveren

Oct 09, 2026 - 18:45

1 1.45

3 1.37

xG Accuracy: 56%

Lommel United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Waasland-Beveren Lommel United ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12706483

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Lommel United win · Waasland-Beveren 1–3 Lommel United

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Pro League Belga
Fixture: Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel United
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 27.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Waasland-Beveren 1.45 — Lommel United 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.82)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 46.5% · Implied: 40.6% · Probability edge: +5.9 pts · Est. EV: +12.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 58.6% · No 41.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.8%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Pro League Belga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Union Saint-Gilloise	7	6	1	0	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	19
3	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	11
7	Standard Liegi	7	3	2	2	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	10
9	Waasland-Beveren	7	3	0	4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	9
11	Sint-Truiden	7	2	2	3	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	8
13	Anversa	7	2	1	4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Union Saint-Gilloise	7	21	3	+18	19
2	Club Brugge	7	15	3	+12	18
3	Charleroi	7	15	7	+8	18
4	KVC Westerlo	7	15	16	-1	10
5	Gent	7	13	4	+9	19
6	Standard Liegi	7	13	12	+1	11
7	Genk	7	13	12	+1	9
8	Sint-Truiden	7	12	12	0	8
9	Anversa	7	11	15	-4	7
10	Zulte Waregem	7	10	7	+3	11
11	Cercle Brugge	7	8	14	-6	3
12	Anderlecht	7	7	5	+2	13
13	Waasland-Beveren	7	7	11	-4	9
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	7	14	-7	4
15	Lommel United	7	6	8	-2	8
16	OH Leuven	7	5	13	-8	4
17	KV Mechelen	7	5	14	-9	3
18	Kortrijk	7	2	15	-13	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Genk	7	9.1	2.7	+6.4	9
2	Club Brugge	7	8.9	3.9	+5.0	18
3	Charleroi	7	7.5	3.1	+4.4	18
4	Union Saint-Gilloise	7	6.8	3.9	+2.9	19
5	Gent	7	4.9	2.0	+2.9	19
6	Anderlecht	7	5.5	3.0	+2.5	13
7	Zulte Waregem	7	6.8	4.9	+1.9	11
8	Lommel United	7	6.3	5.8	+0.5	8
9	Standard Liegi	7	6.8	7.2	-0.4	11
10	Sint-Truiden	7	8.2	8.9	-0.7	8
11	KV Mechelen	7	5.4	6.4	-1.0	3
12	Cercle Brugge	7	8.1	9.3	-1.2	3
13	Anversa	7	4.9	6.4	-1.5	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	4.5	7.5	-3.0	4
15	Kortrijk	7	3.5	7.6	-4.1	3
16	KVC Westerlo	7	4.4	8.9	-4.5	10
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	6.4	11.4	-5.0	9
18	OH Leuven	7	4.8	10.1	-5.3	4