Statistiche / Calcio / Montenegro. Prima Lega Montenegro / Mornar vs Jezero

Mornar vs Jezero Statistics & Analysis

Mornar Mornar
Oct 08, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.54
3 1.06
xG Accuracy: 39%
Jezero Jezero
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Mornar Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13236667

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Mornar 3–3 Jezero
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Prima Lega Montenegro
  • Fixture: Mornar vs Jezero
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 46.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.6%
  • xG (showing): Mornar 1.54 — Jezero 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 52.9% · Implied: 43.3% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +16.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Prima Lega Montenegro Prima Lega Montenegro — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Otrant-Olympic 9 5 1 3 16
2 Dečić 9 4 3 2 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 15
4 Budućnost Podgorica 9 4 2 3 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 14
6 Mornar 9 3 4 2 13
7 Mladost DG 9 3 1 5 10
8 Jezero 9 2 3 4 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Otrant-Olympic 9 15 10 +5 16
2 Budućnost Podgorica 9 11 7 +4 14
3 Sutjeska 9 11 7 +4 14
4 Dečić 9 10 7 +3 15
5 Mornar 9 9 7 +2 13
6 Jezero 9 9 15 -6 9
7 Bokelj 9 8 5 +3 15
8 Mladost DG 9 8 15 -7 10
9 Petrovac 9 7 9 -2 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 5 11 -6 7