Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. Premier League / Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.35
2 1.56
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13223874

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brighton & Hove Albion win · Sunderland 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.1% · Draw 27.7% · Away 41.1%
  • xG (showing): Sunderland 1.35 — Brighton & Hove Albion 1.56 (total xG ≈ 2.91)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 55.6% · Implied: 48.2% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +15.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 12
3 Brighton & Hove Albion 5 3 1 1 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 9
5 Leeds United 5 2 3 0 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 8
9 Newcastle United 5 2 2 1 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 7
11 Ipswich Town 5 2 0 3 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 5
13 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 3
18 Coventry City 5 1 0 4 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Brighton & Hove Albion 5 16 5 +11 10
2 Manchester City 5 13 5 +8 15
3 Brentford 5 10 4 +6 9
4 Chelsea 5 10 12 -2 7
5 Newcastle United 5 9 9 0 8
6 Arsenal 5 8 4 +4 12
7 Manchester United 5 8 8 0 5
8 Leeds United 5 7 3 +4 9
9 Liverpool 5 7 4 +3 9
10 Ipswich Town 5 7 11 -4 6
11 Everton 5 6 3 +3 9
12 Hull City 5 6 4 +2 8
13 Bournemouth 5 6 8 -2 3
14 Sunderland 5 6 10 -4 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 6 11 -5 4
16 Fulham 5 5 8 -3 2
17 Nottingham Forest 5 4 5 -1 5
18 Aston Villa 5 4 9 -5 4
19 Tottenham 5 2 8 -6 2
20 Coventry City 5 1 10 -9 3
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Arsenal 5 7.6 1.7 +5.9 12
2 Brentford 5 6.8 3.8 +3.0 9
3 Manchester City 5 3.8 1.2 +2.6 15
4 Brighton & Hove Albion 5 6.4 4.0 +2.4 10
5 Manchester United 5 7.9 5.9 +2.0 5
6 Nottingham Forest 5 3.0 2.1 +0.9 5
7 Liverpool 5 3.8 3.7 +0.1 9
8 Crystal Palace 5 2.6 2.6 0.0 4
9 Chelsea 5 6.2 6.5 -0.3 7
10 Sunderland 5 3.2 3.7 -0.5 4
11 Fulham 5 4.0 4.7 -0.7 2
12 Bournemouth 5 4.3 5.2 -0.9 3
13 Coventry City 5 1.6 2.5 -0.9 3
14 Everton 5 3.9 4.9 -1.0 9
15 Newcastle United 5 2.2 3.3 -1.1 8
16 Hull City 5 2.0 3.1 -1.1 8
17 Ipswich Town 5 5.0 7.2 -2.2 6
18 Leeds United 5 2.7 4.9 -2.2 9
19 Tottenham 5 3.1 5.6 -2.5 2
20 Aston Villa 5 2.5 6.0 -3.5 4