FBC Melgar W vs Sporting Cristal W Statistics & Analysis

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FBC Melgar W

Jul 24, 2026 - 19:00

0 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 43%

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Sporting Cristal W

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 FBC Melgar W Sporting Cristal W ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1449012

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sporting Cristal W win · FBC Melgar W 0–3 Sporting Cristal W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Femenina Peru
Fixture: FBC Melgar W vs Sporting Cristal W
Kickoff: 2026-07-24 19:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): FBC Melgar W 1.32 — Sporting Cristal W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Femminile Perù — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Universitario de Deportes W	10	9	1	0	28
2	Atlético Andahuaylas W	10	8	1	1	25
3	Sporting Cristal W	10	7	0	3	21
4	Alianza Lima Femminile	10	6	2	2	20
5	Yanapuma W	10	5	1	4	16
6	FBC Melgar W	10	4	2	4	14
7	Flamengo FBC W	10	3	2	5	11
8	Defensores W	10	2	1	7	7
9	UNSAAC W	10	1	3	6	6
10	Killas W	10	1	2	7	5
11	Carlos Mannucci Femminile	10	1	1	8	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Universitario de Deportes W	10	55	4	+51	28
2	Sporting Cristal W	10	30	9	+21	21
3	Alianza Lima Femminile	10	26	7	+19	20
4	Flamengo FBC W	10	16	21	-5	11
5	FBC Melgar W	10	15	14	+1	14
6	Yanapuma W	10	15	21	-6	16
7	Atlético Andahuaylas W	10	14	8	+6	25
8	Killas W	10	14	26	-12	5
9	Defensores W	10	11	29	-18	7
10	UNSAAC W	10	7	25	-18	6
11	Carlos Mannucci Femminile	10	4	43	-39	4