União PR vs Campo Mourão Statistics & Analysis

União PR

Aug 30, 2026 - 18:30

2 1.30

0 1.30

xG Accuracy: 58%

Campo Mourão

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 União PR União PR ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5160896

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result União PR win · União PR 2–0 Campo Mourão

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Paranaense - 3 Brasile
Fixture: União PR vs Campo Mourão
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): União PR 1.3 — Campo Mourão 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Paranaense - 3 Brasile — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	AA Iguaçu	6	4	1	1	13
2	Hope Internacional	6	3	2	1	11
3	PSTC Procopense	6	3	1	2	10
4	Cambé	6	3	1	2	10
5	City London	6	3	0	3	9
6	Oeste Brasil	4	2	1	1	7
7	União PR	4	2	1	1	7
8	Iraty	6	2	1	3	7
9	Portuguesa Londrinense	6	2	0	4	6
9	Sport Club PR	2	0	1	1	1
10	Samas	6	1	0	5	3
11	Campo Mourão	4	0	2	2	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Hope Internacional	6	8	4	+4	11
2	Oeste Brasil	4	8	5	+3	7
3	União PR	4	7	6	+1	7
4	Iraty	6	7	9	-2	7
5	AA Iguaçu	6	6	2	+4	13
6	City London	6	6	3	+3	9
7	PSTC Procopense	6	6	5	+1	10
8	Portuguesa Londrinense	6	4	8	-4	6
9	Samas	6	4	10	-6	3
10	Cambé	6	3	3	0	10
11	Campo Mourão	4	2	6	-4	2
12	Sport Club PR	2	1	3	-2	1