Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto Statistics & Analysis

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Sep 26, 2026 - 08:00

0 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 64%

Roasso Kumamoto

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Thespakusatsu Gunma Roasso Kumamoto ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10076580

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Roasso Kumamoto win · Thespakusatsu Gunma 0–1 Roasso Kumamoto

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: J3 League Giappone
Fixture: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.34 — Roasso Kumamoto 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.8% · Probability edge: +4.0 pts · Est. EV: +3.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

J3 League Giappone — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Kagoshima United	9	7	2	0	23
2	Ehime FC	9	6	2	1	20
3	Nara Club	10	6	2	2	20
4	Sagamihara	10	5	3	2	18
5	Osaka	10	4	5	1	17
6	Renofa Yamaguchi	9	5	2	2	17
7	Kanazawa	10	4	2	4	14
8	Roasso Kumamoto	9	3	5	1	14
9	Biwako Shiga	10	4	2	4	14
10	Parceiro Nagano	10	4	2	4	14
11	FC Gifu	9	4	1	4	13
12	Gainare Tottori	9	4	1	4	13
13	FC Ryukyu	10	3	2	5	11
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	10
15	Kitakyushu	10	2	4	4	10
16	Thespakusatsu Gunma	10	3	0	7	9
17	Matsumoto Yamaga	9	1	5	3	8
18	Fukushima United	10	2	2	6	8
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	10	1	2	7	5
20	Kochi United	10	1	2	7	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Ehime FC	9	22	10	+12	20
2	Nara Club	10	21	16	+5	20
3	Fukushima United	10	20	25	-5	8
4	Kagoshima United	9	19	10	+9	23
5	FC Gifu	9	19	10	+9	13
6	Osaka	10	18	9	+9	17
7	Sagamihara	10	18	12	+6	18
8	Kanazawa	10	17	14	+3	14
9	Biwako Shiga	10	16	16	0	14
10	Parceiro Nagano	10	14	14	0	14
11	Renofa Yamaguchi	9	13	7	+6	17
12	Gainare Tottori	9	12	18	-6	13
13	Kitakyushu	10	12	18	-6	10
14	Kamatamare Sanuki	10	12	20	-8	5
15	FC Ryukyu	10	11	14	-3	11
16	Tochigi SC	9	11	14	-3	10
17	Thespakusatsu Gunma	10	10	19	-9	9
18	Matsumoto Yamaga	9	8	11	-3	8
19	Roasso Kumamoto	9	7	4	+3	14
20	Kochi United	10	4	23	-19	5