Statistiche / Calcio / Israele. Liga Leumit / Maccabi Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam SC

Maccabi Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam SC Statistics & Analysis

Sep 24, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.29
3 1.31
xG Accuracy: 58%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Kiryat Yam SC Kiryat Yam SC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9340197

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kiryat Yam SC win · Maccabi Herzliya 1–3 Kiryat Yam SC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga Leumit
  • Fixture: Maccabi Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-24 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Maccabi Herzliya 1.29 — Kiryat Yam SC 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.3% · Probability edge: +5.5 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Leumit Liga Leumit — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Ashdod 8 7 0 1 21
2 Bnei Yehuda 8 6 2 0 20
3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 8 5 2 1 17
4 Kiryat Yam SC 8 5 0 3 15
5 Hapoel Ra'anana 8 5 0 3 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 14
8 Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 12
10 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 8
11 Ironi Modi'in 8 2 2 4 8
12 Maccabi Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8
13 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 8 2 1 5 7
14 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 8 2 0 6 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 6
16 Hapoel Acre 8 0 0 8 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Kiryat Yam SC 8 23 13 +10 15
2 Bnei Yehuda 8 19 7 +12 20
3 Hapoel Ra'anana 8 19 11 +8 15
4 Ashdod 8 18 6 +12 21
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 17 17 0 14
6 Hapoel Afula 8 16 12 +4 14
7 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 8 15 9 +6 17
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 13 13 0 12
9 Kafr Qasim 8 12 8 +4 13
10 Ironi Modi'in 8 12 15 -3 8
11 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 9 20 -11 6
12 Maccabi Herzliya 8 8 11 -3 8
13 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 8 8 12 -4 7
14 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 8 7 9 -2 8
15 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 8 7 17 -10 6
16 Hapoel Acre 8 0 23 -23 0