Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen Statistics & Analysis

Germania Teveren

Jul 03, 2026 - 16:30

1 1.32

6 1.28

xG Accuracy: 25%

Alemannia Aachen

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1781692

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Alemannia Aachen win · Germania Teveren 1–6 Alemannia Aachen

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Amichevoli Club
Fixture: Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen
Kickoff: 2026-07-03 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 18.6% · Draw 22.3% · Away 59.1%
xG (showing): Germania Teveren 1.32 — Alemannia Aachen 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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