Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / Rodina Moskva vs Akron Togliatti

Rodina Moskva vs Akron Togliatti Statistics & Analysis

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
Jul 02, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.33
5 1.27
xG Accuracy: 25%
Akron Togliatti Akron Togliatti
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Rodina Moskva Akron Togliatti ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1624264

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Akron Togliatti win · Rodina Moskva 0–5 Akron Togliatti
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Amichevoli Club
  • Fixture: Rodina Moskva vs Akron Togliatti
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-02 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Rodina Moskva 1.33 — Akron Togliatti 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.6% · Probability edge: +4.2 pts · Est. EV: +2.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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