FK Jablonec vs Vlašim Statistics & Analysis

FK Jablonec

Jun 26, 2026 - 13:30

2 1.40

1 1.20

xG Accuracy: 80%

Vlašim

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 16:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2939368

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FK Jablonec win · FK Jablonec 2–1 Vlašim

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Amichevoli Club
Fixture: FK Jablonec vs Vlašim
Kickoff: 2026-06-26 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 48.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away 25.1%
xG (showing): FK Jablonec 1.4 — Vlašim 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.9% · Probability edge: +13.9 pts · Est. EV: +35.7%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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