Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. UEFA Europa Conference League / Kalju Nõmme vs Linfield

Kalju Nõmme vs Linfield Statistics & Analysis

Kalju Nõmme Kalju Nõmme
Jul 09, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 64%
Linfield Linfield
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Kalju Nõmme Kalju Nõmme ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 23:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1518926

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kalju Nõmme win · Kalju Nõmme 1–0 Linfield
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Fixture: Kalju Nõmme vs Linfield
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Kalju Nõmme 1.42 — Linfield 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.1% · Implied: 48.1% · Probability edge: +6.0 pts · Est. EV: +8.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0
3 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0
4 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0
5 SC Braga 0 0 0 0 0
6 Brann 0 0 0 0 0
7 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 0 0 0 0
8 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0
9 FK Stella Rossa 0 0 0 0 0
10 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0
11 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0
12 SC Friburgo 0 0 0 0 0
13 Gent 0 0 0 0 0
14 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0
15 HNK Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0
16 Heart of Midlothian 0 0 0 0 0
17 Saburtalo 0 0 0 0 0
18 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0
19 FK Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0
20 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0
21 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0 0 0 0
22 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0
23 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0
24 FC Lugano 0 0 0 0 0
25 FC Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0
26 Mjällby AIF 0 0 0 0 0
27 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0
28 FC Nordsjælland 0 0 0 0 0
29 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0
30 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0
31 Riga 0 0 0 0 0
32 Sint-Truiden 0 0 0 0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0 0 0 0
34 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0
35 Twente 0 0 0 0 0
36 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0
3 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0
4 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0
5 SC Braga 0 0 0 0 0
6 Brann 0 0 0 0 0
7 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 0 0 0 0
8 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0
9 FK Stella Rossa 0 0 0 0 0
10 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0
11 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0
12 SC Friburgo 0 0 0 0 0
13 Gent 0 0 0 0 0
14 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0
15 HNK Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0
16 Heart of Midlothian 0 0 0 0 0
17 Saburtalo 0 0 0 0 0
18 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0
19 FK Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0
20 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0
21 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0 0 0 0
22 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0
23 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0
24 FC Lugano 0 0 0 0 0
25 FC Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0
26 Mjällby AIF 0 0 0 0 0
27 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0
28 FC Nordsjælland 0 0 0 0 0
29 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0
30 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0
31 Riga 0 0 0 0 0
32 Sint-Truiden 0 0 0 0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0 0 0 0
34 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0
35 Twente 0 0 0 0 0
36 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 4.0 0.0 +4.0 0
2 Panathinaikos 0 3.8 0.2 +3.6 0
3 Atalanta 0 3.5 0.9 +2.6 0
4 Gent 0 2.2 0.2 +2.0 0
5 Twente 0 2.2 0.2 +2.0 0
6 Brann 0 2.1 0.4 +1.7 0
7 Sint-Truiden 0 1.7 0.1 +1.6 0
8 Trabzonspor 0 3.5 2.1 +1.4 0
9 Riga 0 2.3 1.1 +1.2 0
10 Heart of Midlothian 0 1.8 0.6 +1.2 0
11 FC Lugano 0 2.3 1.2 +1.1 0
12 FC Copenhagen 0 1.6 0.6 +1.0 0
13 HNK Hajduk Split 0 2.0 1.1 +0.9 0
14 Mjällby AIF 0 1.4 0.5 +0.9 0
15 Getafe 0 1.4 0.6 +0.8 0
16 FC Midtjylland 0 1.4 0.6 +0.8 0
17 SC Friburgo 0 1.9 1.2 +0.7 0
18 CSKA Sofia 0 1.3 1.3 0.0 0
19 Monaco 0 1.3 1.3 0.0 0
20 FK Jablonec 0 1.2 1.9 -0.7 0
21 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0.6 1.4 -0.8 0
22 Universitatea Craiova 0 0.6 1.4 -0.8 0
23 Ajax 0 1.1 2.0 -0.9 0
24 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0.5 1.4 -0.9 0
25 SC Braga 0 0.6 1.6 -1.0 0
26 FK Stella Rossa 0 1.2 2.3 -1.1 0
27 Kairat Almaty 0 1.1 2.3 -1.2 0
28 FC Nordsjælland 0 0.6 1.8 -1.2 0
29 KuPS 0 2.1 3.5 -1.4 0
30 Saburtalo 0 0.1 1.7 -1.6 0
31 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0.4 2.1 -1.7 0
32 Aarhus 0 0.2 2.2 -2.0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0.2 2.2 -2.0 0
34 Pafos 0 0.9 3.5 -2.6 0
35 Borac Banja Luka 0 0.2 3.8 -3.6 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0.0 4.0 -4.0 0
UEFA Europa Conference League Mondo. UEFA Europa Conference League Pronostici