Naftagas vs Dubočica Statistics & Analysis

Naftagas

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:30

2 1.36

3 1.24

xG Accuracy: 52%

Dubočica

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Naftagas Dubočica ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3361120

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Dubočica win · Naftagas 2–3 Dubočica

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Prva Liga Serbia
Fixture: Naftagas vs Dubočica
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Naftagas 1.36 — Dubočica 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Esplora Altri Contenuti di Previsioni

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Naftagas & Dubočica!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora

Torna alle Statistiche

Prva Liga Serbia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Borac Čačak	8	7	0	1	21
2	TSC Backa Topola	8	5	3	0	18
3	Javor	8	4	3	1	15
4	FK Spartak Ždrepčeva Krv	8	4	3	1	15
5	OFK Vršac	8	5	0	3	15
6	Napredak	8	4	1	3	13
7	Semendrija 1924	8	3	3	2	12
8	Dubočica	8	3	1	4	10
9	Metalac GM	8	2	2	4	8
10	FK Voždovac	8	2	2	4	8
11	Loznica	8	1	5	2	8
12	OFK Bor 1919	8	2	2	4	8
13	Teleoptik	8	1	4	3	7
14	Jedinstvo Ub	8	2	1	5	7
15	Naftagas	8	1	3	4	6
16	Grafičar	8	1	1	6	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Javor	8	19	8	+11	15
2	TSC Backa Topola	8	17	9	+8	18
3	FK Spartak Ždrepčeva Krv	8	17	11	+6	15
4	Borac Čačak	8	15	8	+7	21
5	OFK Vršac	8	13	9	+4	15
6	Semendrija 1924	8	13	11	+2	12
7	Metalac GM	8	11	11	0	8
8	Dubočica	8	10	14	-4	10
9	Teleoptik	8	10	15	-5	7
10	Loznica	8	9	12	-3	8
11	Jedinstvo Ub	8	9	14	-5	7
12	Napredak	8	8	9	-1	13
13	FK Voždovac	8	8	10	-2	8
14	Grafičar	8	8	17	-9	4
15	Naftagas	8	7	10	-3	6
16	OFK Bor 1919	8	7	13	-6	8