Veles vs Novosibirsk Statistics & Analysis

Jun 17, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.20
1 1.12
xG Accuracy: 45%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Veles Veles ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1665081

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Veles win · Veles 4–1 Novosibirsk
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Seconda Lega A - Divisione A Oro Russia
  • Fixture: Veles vs Novosibirsk
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-17 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 31.6% · Away 32.3%
  • xG (showing): Veles 1.2 — Novosibirsk 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.32)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 59.1% · Over 2.5 40.9%); BTTS No (Yes 48.8% · No 51.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 48.8% · No 51.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Lega A - Divisione A Oro Russia Seconda Lega A - Divisione A Oro Russia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Veles 18 9 6 3 33
2 Volgar Astrakhan 18 9 5 4 32
3 Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 18 8 6 4 30
4 Mashuk-KMV 18 8 6 4 30
5 Novosibirsk 18 7 3 8 24
6 Leningradets 18 7 3 8 24
7 FC Tyumen 18 6 5 7 23
8 Dinamo Kirov 18 5 5 8 20
9 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 5 2 11 17
10 Dinamo Mosca II 18 1 9 8 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 FC Tyumen 18 31 26 +5 23
2 Veles 18 26 12 +14 33
3 Novosibirsk 18 26 18 +8 24
4 Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 18 24 16 +8 30
5 Leningradets 18 22 25 -3 24
6 Mashuk-KMV 18 20 17 +3 30
7 Dinamo Kirov 18 20 24 -4 20
8 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 18 19 30 -11 17
9 Volgar Astrakhan 18 18 11 +7 32
10 Dinamo Mosca II 18 9 36 -27 12