Statistiche / Calcio / Mali. Première Division / Réal Bamako vs US Bougouba

Réal Bamako vs US Bougouba Statistics & Analysis

Réal Bamako Réal Bamako
Jun 13, 2026 - 16:15
4 0.95
0 0.77
xG Accuracy: 35%
US Bougouba US Bougouba
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Réal Bamako ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 21:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3482175

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Réal Bamako win · Réal Bamako 4–0 US Bougouba
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Première Division
  • Fixture: Réal Bamako vs US Bougouba
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 16:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.5% · Draw 37.0% · Away 26.5%
  • xG (showing): Réal Bamako 0.95 — US Bougouba 0.77 (total xG ≈ 1.72)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Première Division Première Division — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 59
2 Stade Malien Bamako 26 14 8 4 50
3 Réal Bamako 26 14 7 5 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 42
7 ASKO 26 9 6 11 33
8 US Bougouba 26 8 7 11 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 27
11 Afrique Football Élite 26 7 6 13 27
12 Onze Créateurs 26 6 8 12 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20
14 Bougouni 26 4 4 18 16
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Djoliba 26 41 12 +29 59
2 USFAS Bamako 26 37 27 +10 42
3 Réal Bamako 26 32 14 +18 49
4 Diarra 26 32 24 +8 44
5 Stade Malien Bamako 26 28 15 +13 50
6 Binga 26 28 15 +13 43
7 ASKO 26 28 31 -3 33
8 Afrique Football Élite 26 23 38 -15 27
9 US Bougouba 26 21 34 -13 31
10 Bakaridjan 26 20 27 -7 27
11 Mali Coura 26 20 31 -11 20
12 Derby Academie 26 19 22 -3 29
13 Onze Créateurs 26 16 24 -8 26
14 Bougouni 26 12 43 -31 16