Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. Ligue 2 / FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims

FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.38
0 1.49
xG Accuracy: 45%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Stade de Reims Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13195301

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · FC Nantes 0–0 Stade de Reims
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue 2
  • Fixture: FC Nantes vs Stade de Reims
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): FC Nantes 1.38 — Stade de Reims 1.49 (total xG ≈ 2.87)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 54.7% · Implied: 50.4% · Probability edge: +4.3 pts · Est. EV: +4.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 2 Ligue 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Saint-Étienne 7 5 1 1 16
2 Red Star FC 7 4 2 1 14
3 Stade de Reims 7 3 4 0 13
4 Montpellier HSC 7 3 3 1 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10
6 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 3 1 3 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 10
9 Dijon FCO 7 2 3 2 9
10 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 7
15 FC Nantes 7 2 1 4 7
16 Clermont Foot 7 0 6 1 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Saint-Étienne 7 19 8 +11 16
2 Stade de Reims 7 15 9 +6 13
3 Rodez 7 14 16 -2 7
4 Metz 7 10 7 +3 10
5 Dijon FCO 7 10 10 0 9
6 Guingamp 7 10 12 -2 8
7 Dunkerque 7 10 12 -2 8
8 Red Star FC 7 9 7 +2 14
9 Annecy 7 9 9 0 10
10 FC Nantes 7 9 13 -4 7
11 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 8 7 +1 10
12 Grenoble 7 8 11 -3 8
13 Laval 7 8 14 -6 5
14 Montpellier HSC 7 6 5 +1 12
15 Pau FC 7 6 6 0 8
16 Sochaux 7 4 5 -1 10
17 Clermont Foot 7 4 6 -2 6
18 Boulogne 7 3 5 -2 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 2.4 0.5 +1.9 10
2 FC Nantes 7 2.0 0.3 +1.7 7
3 Red Star FC 7 2.4 1.8 +0.6 14
4 Annecy 7 1.3 0.8 +0.5 10
5 Boulogne 7 1.2 0.8 +0.4 5
6 Pau FC 7 1.9 1.8 +0.1 8
7 Montpellier HSC 7 1.5 1.4 +0.1 12
8 Laval 7 1.8 1.9 -0.1 5
9 Grenoble 7 1.4 1.5 -0.1 8
10 Sochaux 7 0.8 1.2 -0.4 10
11 Dunkerque 7 0.8 1.3 -0.5 8
12 Clermont Foot 7 1.8 2.4 -0.6 6
13 Stade de Reims 7 0.3 2.0 -1.7 13
14 Guingamp 7 0.5 2.4 -1.9 8
15 Saint-Étienne 7 — — — 16
16 Metz 7 — — — 10
17 Dijon FCO 7 — — — 9
18 Rodez 7 — — — 7