AS Nancy Lorraine vs Guingamp Statistics & Analysis

AS Nancy Lorraine

Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.31

0 1.29

xG Accuracy: 64%

Guingamp

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 AS Nancy Lorraine AS Nancy Lorraine ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12702899

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result AS Nancy Lorraine win · AS Nancy Lorraine 1–0 Guingamp

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Ligue 2
Fixture: AS Nancy Lorraine vs Guingamp
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): AS Nancy Lorraine 1.31 — Guingamp 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.9% · Probability edge: +3.9 pts · Est. EV: +4.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue 2 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Saint-Étienne	7	5	1	1	16
2	Red Star FC	7	4	2	1	14
3	Stade de Reims	7	3	4	0	13
4	Montpellier HSC	7	3	3	1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10
6	AS Nancy Lorraine	7	3	1	3	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	10
9	Dijon FCO	7	2	3	2	9
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	7
15	FC Nantes	7	2	1	4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Saint-Étienne	7	19	8	+11	16
2	Stade de Reims	7	15	9	+6	13
3	Rodez	7	14	16	-2	7
4	Metz	7	10	7	+3	10
5	Dijon FCO	7	10	10	0	9
6	Guingamp	7	10	12	-2	8
7	Dunkerque	7	10	12	-2	8
8	Red Star FC	7	9	7	+2	14
9	Annecy	7	9	9	0	10
10	FC Nantes	7	9	13	-4	7
11	AS Nancy Lorraine	7	8	7	+1	10
12	Grenoble	7	8	11	-3	8
13	Laval	7	8	14	-6	5
14	Montpellier HSC	7	6	5	+1	12
15	Pau FC	7	6	6	0	8
16	Sochaux	7	4	5	-1	10
17	Clermont Foot	7	4	6	-2	6
18	Boulogne	7	3	5	-2	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	AS Nancy Lorraine	7	2.9	0.5	+2.4	10
2	FC Nantes	7	2.0	0.3	+1.7	7
3	Annecy	7	1.8	0.7	+1.1	10
4	Saint-Étienne	7	1.6	0.8	+0.8	16
5	Red Star FC	7	2.4	1.8	+0.6	14
6	Boulogne	7	1.2	0.8	+0.4	5
7	Pau FC	7	1.9	1.8	+0.1	8
8	Montpellier HSC	7	1.5	1.5	0.0	12
9	Grenoble	7	1.5	1.5	0.0	8
10	Laval	7	1.8	1.9	-0.1	5
11	Sochaux	7	0.8	1.2	-0.4	10
12	Clermont Foot	7	1.8	2.4	-0.6	6
13	Rodez	7	0.8	1.6	-0.8	7
14	Dunkerque	7	0.7	1.8	-1.1	8
15	Stade de Reims	7	0.3	2.0	-1.7	13
16	Guingamp	7	0.5	2.9	-2.4	8
17	Metz	7	—	—	—	10
18	Dijon FCO	7	—	—	—	9