Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. Ligue 2 / Montpellier HSC vs Grenoble

Montpellier HSC vs Grenoble Statistics & Analysis

Montpellier HSC Montpellier HSC
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 61%
Grenoble Grenoble
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Montpellier HSC Montpellier HSC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12702843

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Montpellier HSC win · Montpellier HSC 2–0 Grenoble
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue 2
  • Fixture: Montpellier HSC vs Grenoble
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Montpellier HSC 1.39 — Grenoble 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 2 Ligue 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Saint-Étienne 7 5 1 1 16
2 Red Star FC 7 4 2 1 14
3 Stade de Reims 7 3 4 0 13
4 Montpellier HSC 7 3 3 1 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10
6 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 3 1 3 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 10
9 Dijon FCO 7 2 3 2 9
10 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 7
15 FC Nantes 7 2 1 4 7
16 Clermont Foot 7 0 6 1 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Saint-Étienne 7 19 8 +11 16
2 Stade de Reims 7 15 9 +6 13
3 Rodez 7 14 16 -2 7
4 Metz 7 10 7 +3 10
5 Dijon FCO 7 10 10 0 9
6 Guingamp 7 10 12 -2 8
7 Dunkerque 7 10 12 -2 8
8 Red Star FC 7 9 7 +2 14
9 Annecy 7 9 9 0 10
10 FC Nantes 7 9 13 -4 7
11 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 8 7 +1 10
12 Grenoble 7 8 11 -3 8
13 Laval 7 8 14 -6 5
14 Montpellier HSC 7 6 5 +1 12
15 Pau FC 7 6 6 0 8
16 Sochaux 7 4 5 -1 10
17 Clermont Foot 7 4 6 -2 6
18 Boulogne 7 3 5 -2 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 AS Nancy Lorraine 7 2.9 0.5 +2.4 10
2 FC Nantes 7 2.0 0.3 +1.7 7
3 Annecy 7 1.8 0.7 +1.1 10
4 Saint-Étienne 7 1.6 0.8 +0.8 16
5 Red Star FC 7 2.4 1.8 +0.6 14
6 Boulogne 7 1.2 0.8 +0.4 5
7 Pau FC 7 1.9 1.8 +0.1 8
8 Montpellier HSC 7 1.5 1.5 0.0 12
9 Grenoble 7 1.5 1.5 0.0 8
10 Laval 7 1.8 1.9 -0.1 5
11 Sochaux 7 0.8 1.2 -0.4 10
12 Clermont Foot 7 1.8 2.4 -0.6 6
13 Rodez 7 0.8 1.6 -0.8 7
14 Dunkerque 7 0.7 1.8 -1.1 8
15 Stade de Reims 7 0.3 2.0 -1.7 13
16 Guingamp 7 0.5 2.9 -2.4 8
17 Metz 7 — — — 10
18 Dijon FCO 7 — — — 9
Ligue 2 Francia. Ligue 2 Pronostici