Statistiche / Calcio / Macedonia del Nord. Prima Lega Macedonia / Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip

Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip Statistics & Analysis

Tikveš Tikveš
Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.40
0 1.20
xG Accuracy: 46%
Bregalnica Štip Bregalnica Štip
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tikveš Tikveš ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12690392

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tikveš win · Tikveš 3–0 Bregalnica Štip
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Prima Lega Macedonia
  • Fixture: Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Tikveš 1.4 — Bregalnica Štip 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Prima Lega Macedonia Prima Lega Macedonia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Shkendija 8 6 1 1 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 17
3 Vardar Skopje 8 4 2 2 14
4 Tikveš 8 3 4 1 13
5 Shkëndija Haraçinë 8 4 1 3 13
6 Bregalnica Štip 8 3 1 4 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 9
8 Aresimi 8 2 2 4 8
9 Bashkimi Kumanovo 8 1 1 6 4
10 Skopje 8 0 3 5 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Shkendija 8 20 8 +12 19
2 Struga 8 19 5 +14 17
3 Tikveš 8 17 7 +10 13
4 Vardar Skopje 8 14 8 +6 14
5 Sileks 8 13 10 +3 9
6 Bregalnica Štip 8 11 13 -2 10
7 Bashkimi Kumanovo 8 7 25 -18 4
8 Shkëndija Haraçinë 8 6 9 -3 13
9 Aresimi 8 6 19 -13 8
10 Skopje 8 3 12 -9 3
Prima Lega Macedonia Macedonia del Nord. Prima Lega Macedonia Pronostici