Aresimi vs Sileks Statistics & Analysis

Aresimi

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00

1 1.18

1 1.42

xG Accuracy: 85%

Sileks

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Sileks Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12690239

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Aresimi 1–1 Sileks

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Prima Lega Macedonia
Fixture: Aresimi vs Sileks
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
xG (showing): Aresimi 1.18 — Sileks 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.7% · Probability edge: +6.1 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Prima Lega Macedonia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Shkendija	8	20	8	+12	19
2	Struga	8	19	5	+14	17
3	Tikveš	8	17	7	+10	13
4	Vardar Skopje	8	14	8	+6	14
5	Sileks	8	13	10	+3	9
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	11	13	-2	10
7	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	7	25	-18	4
8	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	6	9	-3	13
9	Aresimi	8	6	19	-13	8
10	Skopje	8	3	12	-9	3