Statistiche / Calcio / Messico. Liga MX / Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Statistics & Analysis

Monterrey Monterrey
Jul 19, 2026 - 01:05
3 2.01
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 63%
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Monterrey Monterrey ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1450813

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Monterrey win · Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga MX
  • Fixture: Monterrey vs Santos Laguna
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-19 01:05:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 54.4% · Draw 23.4% · Away 22.1%
  • xG (showing): Monterrey 2.01 — Santos Laguna 1.33 (total xG ≈ 3.34)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 64.9% · Implied: 59.6% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +3.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX Liga MX — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 20
2 Club América 9 6 2 1 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 18
4 Querétaro 9 5 2 2 17
5 León 10 5 2 3 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 3 3 4 12
13 Atlético San Luis 10 3 3 4 12
14 Atlante FC 10 2 5 3 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 8
18 FC Juárez 10 1 0 9 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Toluca 10 23 12 +11 20
2 Club América 9 21 10 +11 20
3 Cruz Azul 10 19 18 +1 16
4 Guadalajara Chivas 10 17 10 +7 18
5 Monterrey 9 16 14 +2 13
6 Atlas 10 16 17 -1 17
7 Pachuca 10 15 11 +4 12
8 León 10 14 11 +3 17
9 Club Tijuana 9 14 13 +1 14
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 14 16 -2 12
11 Atlético San Luis 10 14 18 -4 12
12 Querétaro 9 13 8 +5 17
13 Atlante FC 10 12 15 -3 11
14 Necaxa 10 12 20 -8 8
15 Puebla 10 11 12 -1 14
16 Tigres UANL 10 10 13 -3 10
17 Santos Laguna 10 10 15 -5 10
18 FC Juárez 10 7 25 -18 3
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Club Tijuana 9 9.5 4.4 +5.1 14
2 Club América 9 10.9 6.5 +4.4 20
3 Cruz Azul 10 11.3 7.5 +3.8 16
4 Tigres UANL 10 11.5 8.6 +2.9 10
5 Monterrey 9 10.2 7.4 +2.8 13
6 Guadalajara Chivas 10 10.2 7.5 +2.7 18
7 Toluca 10 10.2 7.9 +2.3 20
8 Querétaro 9 10.2 9.4 +0.8 17
9 Necaxa 10 6.8 6.1 +0.7 8
10 León 10 10.6 10.1 +0.5 17
11 Santos Laguna 10 10.1 9.7 +0.4 10
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 6.4 8.0 -1.6 12
13 Pachuca 10 7.4 9.2 -1.8 12
14 Puebla 10 8.0 10.8 -2.8 14
15 Atlas 10 8.4 11.6 -3.2 17
16 Atlético San Luis 10 7.8 11.1 -3.3 12
17 Atlante FC 10 6.9 11.8 -4.9 11
18 FC Juárez 10 5.8 14.6 -8.8 3
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