Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Coppa Espírito Santo / Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitória

Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitória Statistics & Analysis

Rio Branco-VN Rio Branco-VN
Jun 14, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.19
0 1.41
xG Accuracy: 64%
Porto Vitória Porto Vitória
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Porto Vitória Rio Branco-VN ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 07:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2587212

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rio Branco-VN win · Rio Branco-VN 1–0 Porto Vitória
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Coppa Espírito Santo
  • Fixture: Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitória
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Rio Branco-VN 1.19 — Porto Vitória 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Coppa Espírito Santo Coppa Espírito Santo — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Porto Vitória 7 5 1 1 16
2 Vitória ES 7 4 1 2 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11
6 Sport Brasil ES 7 2 0 5 6
7 Serra Talhada 7 1 1 5 4
8 Audax São Mateus 7 1 1 5 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Vitória ES 7 16 8 +8 13
2 Porto Vitória 7 14 5 +9 16
3 Rio Branco ES 7 11 7 +4 11
4 Vilavelhense 7 10 8 +2 13
5 Rio Branco-VN 7 6 4 +2 13
6 Serra Talhada 7 6 10 -4 4
7 Sport Brasil ES 7 3 13 -10 6
8 Audax São Mateus 7 2 13 -11 4