Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC Statistics & Analysis

Internacional Palmira

Sep 28, 2026 - 21:00

1 1.40

0 1.20

xG Accuracy: 64%

Leones FC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 22, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10251582

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Internacional Palmira win · Internacional Palmira 1–0 Leones FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera B Colombia
Fixture: Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-28 21:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Internacional Palmira 1.4 — Leones FC 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera B Colombia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Internacional Palmira	32	17	8	7	59
2	Quindío	32	16	9	7	57
3	Envigado	34	15	11	8	56
4	Real Cartagena	34	15	10	9	55
5	Unión Magdalena	32	15	8	9	53
6	Tigres FC	32	12	9	11	45
7	Independiente Yumbo	26	11	9	6	42
8	Bogotá FC	32	9	11	12	38
9	Real Soacha	26	9	9	8	36
10	Barranquilla	32	9	8	15	35
11	Patriotas	26	9	7	10	34
12	Popayán	26	7	10	9	31
13	Orsomarso	26	6	9	11	27
14	Depor FC	26	5	8	13	23
15	Leones FC	26	4	8	14	20
16	Real Santander	26	3	10	13	19

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Real Cartagena	34	53	39	+14	55
2	Envigado	34	46	31	+15	56
3	Unión Magdalena	32	45	31	+14	53
4	Internacional Palmira	32	40	28	+12	59
5	Barranquilla	32	37	43	-6	35
6	Quindío	32	33	21	+12	57
7	Real Soacha	26	33	29	+4	36
8	Popayán	26	33	34	-1	31
9	Tigres FC	32	32	26	+6	45
10	Patriotas	26	30	34	-4	34
11	Independiente Yumbo	26	28	20	+8	42
12	Bogotá FC	32	28	35	-7	38
13	Depor FC	26	25	40	-15	23
14	Real Santander	26	22	41	-19	19
15	Orsomarso	26	20	28	-8	27
16	Leones FC	26	16	41	-25	20