Statistiche / Calcio / Perù. Primera División Perù / Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo Statistics & Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
Oct 10, 2026 - 01:00
0 1.52
1 1.47
xG Accuracy: 58%
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Deportivo Garcilaso Sport Huancayo ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13181494

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sport Huancayo win · Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 Sport Huancayo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera División Perù
  • Fixture: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 01:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away 33.7%
  • xG (showing): Deportivo Garcilaso 1.52 — Sport Huancayo 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.99)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 57.5% · Implied: 49.0% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +15.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División Perù Primera División Perù — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Alianza Lima 27 16 8 3 56
2 Universitario de Deportes 27 14 7 6 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 27 14 6 7 48
4 FBC Melgar 27 13 7 7 46
5 Cusco FC 27 14 3 10 45
6 Cultural Santa Rosa 27 12 6 9 42
7 Cienciano 27 12 5 10 41
8 Alianza Atlético 27 11 7 9 40
9 Sporting Cristal 27 11 5 11 38
10 Sport Boys 27 10 8 9 38
11 Sport Huancayo 27 10 5 12 35
12 Juan Pablo II College 27 9 7 11 34
13 Atlético Grau 27 9 5 13 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos 27 7 9 11 30
15 FC Cajamarca 27 7 6 14 27
16 ADT 27 6 7 14 25
17 UCV Moquegua 27 6 7 14 25
18 UTC 27 4 8 15 15
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sporting Cristal 27 48 40 +8 38
2 Cienciano 27 46 40 +6 41
3 FBC Melgar 27 45 29 +16 46
4 Alianza Lima 27 44 18 +26 56
5 Universitario de Deportes 27 43 31 +12 49
6 Juan Pablo II College 27 42 52 -10 34
7 FC Cajamarca 27 41 52 -11 27
8 Alianza Atlético 27 40 35 +5 40
9 Cusco FC 27 40 38 +2 45
10 Deportivo Garcilaso 27 39 24 +15 48
11 Sport Huancayo 27 37 44 -7 35
12 Cultural Santa Rosa 27 36 45 -9 42
13 Comerciantes Unidos 27 35 38 -3 30
14 UTC 27 32 50 -18 15
15 Sport Boys 27 29 26 +3 38
16 ADT 27 29 42 -13 25
17 Atlético Grau 27 26 31 -5 32
18 UCV Moquegua 27 24 41 -17 25
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 ADT 27 3.3 0.4 +2.9 25
2 Alianza Lima 27 2.3 0.0 +2.3 56
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 27 4.0 2.7 +1.3 48
4 Comerciantes Unidos 27 2.1 1.1 +1.0 30
5 FBC Melgar 27 1.7 1.4 +0.3 46
6 Universitario de Deportes 27 1.4 1.7 -0.3 49
7 Sport Huancayo 27 1.3 1.6 -0.3 35
8 Cusco FC 27 1.4 2.3 -0.9 45
9 Juan Pablo II College 27 1.1 2.1 -1.0 34
10 UTC 27 0.0 2.3 -2.3 15
11 FC Cajamarca 27 0.4 3.3 -2.9 27
12 Cultural Santa Rosa 27 — — — 42
13 Cienciano 27 — — — 41
14 Alianza Atlético 27 — — — 40
15 Sporting Cristal 27 — — — 38
16 Sport Boys 27 — — — 38
17 Atlético Grau 27 — — — 32
18 UCV Moquegua 27 — — — 25
Primera División Perù Perù. Primera División Perù Pronostici