Cienciano vs Cultural Santa Rosa Statistics & Analysis

Cienciano

Sep 30, 2026 - 20:00

1 1.56

1 1.48

xG Accuracy: 75%

Cultural Santa Rosa

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Cienciano Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8700267

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Cienciano 1–1 Cultural Santa Rosa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Primera División Perù
Fixture: Cienciano vs Cultural Santa Rosa
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.3% · Draw 27.0% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Cienciano 1.56 — Cultural Santa Rosa 1.48 (total xG ≈ 3.04)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 41.4% · Over 2.5 58.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 62.4% · No 37.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 62.4% · No 37.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Primera División Perù — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Alianza Lima	27	16	8	3	56
2	Universitario de Deportes	27	14	7	6	49
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	27	14	6	7	48
4	FBC Melgar	27	13	7	7	46
5	Cusco FC	27	14	3	10	45
6	Cultural Santa Rosa	27	12	6	9	42
7	Cienciano	27	12	5	10	41
8	Alianza Atlético	27	11	7	9	40
9	Sporting Cristal	27	11	5	11	38
10	Sport Boys	27	10	8	9	38
11	Sport Huancayo	27	10	5	12	35
12	Juan Pablo II College	27	9	7	11	34
13	Atlético Grau	27	9	5	13	32
14	Comerciantes Unidos	27	7	9	11	30
15	FC Cajamarca	27	7	6	14	27
16	ADT	27	6	7	14	25
17	UCV Moquegua	27	6	7	14	25
18	UTC	27	4	8	15	15

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sporting Cristal	27	48	40	+8	38
2	Cienciano	27	46	40	+6	41
3	FBC Melgar	27	45	29	+16	46
4	Alianza Lima	27	44	18	+26	56
5	Universitario de Deportes	27	43	31	+12	49
6	Juan Pablo II College	27	42	52	-10	34
7	FC Cajamarca	27	41	52	-11	27
8	Alianza Atlético	27	40	35	+5	40
9	Cusco FC	27	40	38	+2	45
10	Deportivo Garcilaso	27	39	24	+15	48
11	Sport Huancayo	27	37	44	-7	35
12	Cultural Santa Rosa	27	36	45	-9	42
13	Comerciantes Unidos	27	35	38	-3	30
14	UTC	27	32	50	-18	15
15	Sport Boys	27	29	26	+3	38
16	ADT	27	29	42	-13	25
17	Atlético Grau	27	26	31	-5	32
18	UCV Moquegua	27	24	41	-17	25

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Alianza Lima	27	2.3	0.0	+2.3	56
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	27	2.3	1.4	+0.9	48
3	Cusco FC	27	1.4	2.3	-0.9	45
4	UTC	27	0.0	2.3	-2.3	15
5	Universitario de Deportes	27	—	—	—	49
6	FBC Melgar	27	—	—	—	46
7	Cultural Santa Rosa	27	—	—	—	42
8	Cienciano	27	—	—	—	41
9	Alianza Atlético	27	—	—	—	40
10	Sporting Cristal	27	—	—	—	38
11	Sport Boys	27	—	—	—	38
12	Sport Huancayo	27	—	—	—	35
13	Juan Pablo II College	27	—	—	—	34
14	Atlético Grau	27	—	—	—	32
15	Comerciantes Unidos	27	—	—	—	30
16	FC Cajamarca	27	—	—	—	27
17	ADT	27	—	—	—	25
18	UCV Moquegua	27	—	—	—	25