Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / Hartlepool United vs Grimsby Town

Hartlepool United vs Grimsby Town Statistics & Analysis

Hartlepool United Hartlepool United
Jul 25, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
Grimsby Town Grimsby Town
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1455988

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Grimsby Town win · Hartlepool United 0–3 Grimsby Town
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: Hartlepool United United vs Grimsby Town Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-25 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.2% · Draw 28.5% · Away 38.3%
  • xG (showing): Hartlepool United United 1.32 — Grimsby Town Town 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.5% · Probability edge: +8.3 pts · Est. EV: +11.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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