Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / Colchester United vs Peterborough United

Colchester United vs Peterborough United Statistics & Analysis

Colchester United Colchester United
Jul 21, 2026 - 18:45
2 1.30
3 1.30
xG Accuracy: 52%
Peterborough United Peterborough United
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Colchester United United Peterborough United ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 18:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1909004

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Peterborough United win · Colchester United 2–3 Peterborough United
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: Colchester United United vs Peterborough United United
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-21 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Colchester United United 1.3 — Peterborough United United 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.5% · Probability edge: +8.3 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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