Statistiche / Calcio / Croazia. HNL Croazia / HNK Rijeka vs Rudeš

HNK Rijeka vs Rudeš Statistics & Analysis

Aug 02, 2026 - 19:00
2 1.66
1 1.36
xG Accuracy: 82%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1955690

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result HNK Rijeka win · HNK Rijeka 2–1 Rudeš
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: HNL Croazia
  • Fixture: HNK Rijeka vs Rudeš
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-02 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 55.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away 21.3%
  • xG (showing): HNK Rijeka 1.66 — Rudeš 1.36 (total xG ≈ 3.02)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 41.9% · Over 2.5 58.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 61.6% · No 38.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 61.6% · No 38.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
HNL Croazia HNL Croazia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Dinamo Zagabria 7 5 1 1 16
2 HNK Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16
3 NK Osijek 8 5 1 2 16
4 NK Varaždin 8 4 3 1 15
5 HNK Rijeka 7 4 2 1 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 9
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagabria 8 2 1 5 7
8 NK Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5
10 Rudeš 8 1 1 6 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Dinamo Zagabria 7 17 9 +8 16
2 NK Osijek 8 17 11 +6 16
3 HNK Hajduk Split 8 16 8 +8 16
4 Istra 1961 8 14 13 +1 9
5 NK Varaždin 8 13 7 +6 15
6 HNK Rijeka 7 13 7 +6 14
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagabria 8 11 16 -5 7
8 Rudeš 8 10 24 -14 4
9 NK Slaven Belupo 8 7 16 -9 7
10 HNK Gorica 8 5 12 -7 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Dinamo Zagabria 7 10.2 3.5 +6.7 16
2 NK Varaždin 8 9.8 5.1 +4.7 15
3 NK Osijek 8 9.6 5.7 +3.9 16
4 HNK Hajduk Split 8 9.3 5.5 +3.8 16
5 Istra 1961 8 9.4 7.2 +2.2 9
6 HNK Rijeka 7 6.9 4.7 +2.2 14
7 HNK Gorica 8 7.3 10.7 -3.4 5
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagabria 8 7.8 12.7 -4.9 7
9 NK Slaven Belupo 8 6.9 12.7 -5.8 7
10 Rudeš 8 5.4 14.7 -9.3 4