Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Capixaba B / Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte

Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte Statistics & Analysis

Pinheiros Pinheiros
Aug 19, 2026 - 22:30
0 1.38
5 1.22
xG Accuracy: 24%
Estrela do Norte Estrela do Norte
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Pinheiros Estrela do Norte ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 13, 2026 · 02:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3820858

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Estrela do Norte win · Pinheiros 0–5 Estrela do Norte
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Capixaba B
  • Fixture: Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-19 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Pinheiros 1.38 — Estrela do Norte 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Capixaba B Capixaba B — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 22
2 Linhares 8 6 0 2 18
3 Rive 8 5 2 1 17
4 Audax São Mateus 8 5 1 2 16
5 GEL 8 3 3 2 12
6 Doze 8 3 1 4 10
7 Tupy 8 3 1 4 10
8 Sport Brasil ES 8 3 0 5 9
9 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1
10 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Linhares 8 22 2 +20 18
2 Estrela do Norte 8 21 1 +20 22
3 Audax São Mateus 8 15 5 +10 16
4 Rive 8 14 7 +7 17
5 GEL 8 10 7 +3 12
6 Sport Brasil ES 8 10 9 +1 9
7 Doze 8 8 13 -5 10
8 Tupy 8 8 14 -6 10
9 Pinheiros 8 5 27 -22 0
10 CTE Colatina 8 1 29 -28 1
Capixaba B Brasile. Capixaba B Pronostici