Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Amichevoli Club / Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon

Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon Statistics & Analysis

Jul 18, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.42
2 1.18
xG Accuracy: 71%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 22:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1514274

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AFC Wimbledon win · Sutton United 1–2 AFC Wimbledon
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-18 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.7% · Draw 28.1% · Away 36.2%
  • xG (showing): Sutton United 1.42 — AFC Wimbledon 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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