Santos vs UCV Statistics & Analysis

Santos

Jul 29, 2026 - 00:30

4 1.44

2 1.22

xG Accuracy: 40%

UCV

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Santos Santos ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1455232

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Santos win · Santos 4–2 UCV

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Copa Sudamericana
Fixture: Santos vs UCV
Kickoff: 2026-07-29 00:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 52.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away 21.7%
xG (showing): Santos 1.44 — UCV 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.66)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Copa Sudamericana — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Macará	6	2	4	0	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	9
3	América de Cali	6	2	3	1	9
4	Alianza Atlético	6	0	2	4	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Tigre	6	8	5	+3	9
2	Macará	6	6	3	+3	10
3	América de Cali	6	6	5	+1	9
4	Alianza Atlético	6	2	9	-7	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Tigre	6	4.1	3.0	+1.1	9
2	Macará	6	1.2	1.6	-0.4	10
3	América de Cali	6	—	—	—	9
4	Alianza Atlético	6	—	—	—	2