CAP vs BOA Statistics & Analysis

CAP

Jun 25, 2026 - 00:30

0 1.23

0 1.37

xG Accuracy: 49%

BOA

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 BOA Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 15:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2046726

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · CAP 0–0 BOA

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Mineiro - 2 Brasile
Fixture: CAP vs BOA
Kickoff: 2026-06-25 00:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
xG (showing): CAP 1.23 — BOA 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Mineiro - 2 Brasile — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Uberaba	10	7	2	1	23
2	Valeriodoce	10	5	5	0	20
3	Democrata SL	10	5	2	3	17
4	BOA	10	5	2	3	17
5	Aymorés	10	4	4	2	16
6	Villa Nova	10	4	2	4	14
7	CAP	10	3	3	4	12
8	Mamoré	10	3	3	4	12
9	Guarani MG	10	3	3	4	12
10	Coimbra	10	2	4	4	10
11	Caldense	10	1	3	6	6
12	Ipatinga	10	1	1	8	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Democrata SL	10	19	10	+9	17
2	Uberaba	10	17	9	+8	23
3	Aymorés	10	17	9	+8	16
4	Villa Nova	10	17	12	+5	14
5	BOA	10	12	9	+3	17
6	Coimbra	10	12	12	0	10
7	Guarani MG	10	12	14	-2	12
8	Valeriodoce	10	9	4	+5	20
9	CAP	10	9	9	0	12
10	Mamoré	10	8	9	-1	12
11	Caldense	10	6	14	-8	6
12	Ipatinga	10	6	33	-27	4