BOA vs CAP Statistics & Analysis

Jun 21, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.41
2 1.19
xG Accuracy: 54%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 BOA CAP ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 20:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2536763

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result CAP win · BOA 0–2 CAP
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Mineiro - 2 Brasile
  • Fixture: BOA vs CAP
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-21 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): BOA 1.41 — CAP 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Mineiro - 2 Brasile Mineiro - 2 BrasileClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 23
2 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 20
3 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 17
4 BOA 10 5 2 3 17
5 Aymorés 10 4 4 2 16
6 Villa Nova 10 4 2 4 14
7 CAP 10 3 3 4 12
8 Mamoré 10 3 3 4 12
9 Guarani MG 10 3 3 4 12
10 Coimbra 10 2 4 4 10
11 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6
12 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Democrata SL 10 19 10 +9 17
2 Uberaba 10 17 9 +8 23
3 Aymorés 10 17 9 +8 16
4 Villa Nova 10 17 12 +5 14
5 BOA 10 12 9 +3 17
6 Coimbra 10 12 12 0 10
7 Guarani MG 10 12 14 -2 12
8 Valeriodoce 10 9 4 +5 20
9 CAP 10 9 9 0 12
10 Mamoré 10 8 9 -1 12
11 Caldense 10 6 14 -8 6
12 Ipatinga 10 6 33 -27 4