Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Brasiliense U20 / Grêmio Valparaíso U20 vs Real Brasília U20

Grêmio Valparaíso U20 vs Real Brasília U20 Statistics & Analysis

Grêmio Valparaíso U20 Grêmio Valparaíso U20
Jun 20, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.15
3 1.45
xG Accuracy: 48%
Real Brasília U20 Real Brasília U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Real Brasília U20 Real Brasília U20 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 10:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1856119

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Brasília U20 win · Grêmio Valparaíso U20 0–3 Real Brasília U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Brasiliense U20
  • Fixture: Grêmio Valparaíso U20 vs Real Brasília U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-20 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Grêmio Valparaíso U20 1.15 — Real Brasília U20 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasiliense U20 Brasiliense U20 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Brasiliense U20 3 3 0 0 9
2 Legião U20 3 3 0 0 9
3 Sobradinho U20 2 2 0 0 6
4 Taguatinga U20 3 2 0 1 6
5 Capital TO U20 2 1 1 0 4
6 Samambaia U20 3 1 1 1 4
7 Gama U20 4 1 0 3 3
8 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 1 0 2 3
9 CFZ Brasília U20 3 1 0 2 3
10 ARUC U20 3 0 0 3 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Brasiliense U20 3 21 0 +21 9
2 Sobradinho U20 2 12 1 +11 6
3 Taguatinga U20 3 9 4 +5 6
4 Gama U20 4 9 9 0 3
5 Capital TO U20 2 6 2 +4 4
6 Legião U20 3 5 2 +3 9
7 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 4 5 -1 3
8 Samambaia U20 3 3 4 -1 4
9 CFZ Brasília U20 3 3 10 -7 3
10 ARUC U20 3 1 15 -14 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 21 -21 0