Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 / Vasco U17 vs Bahia Under 17

Vasco U17 vs Bahia Under 17 Statistics & Analysis

Vasco U17 Vasco U17
Sep 15, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.46
1 1.14
xG Accuracy: 85%
Bahia Under 17 Bahia Under 17
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Vasco U17 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7703827

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Vasco U17 1–1 Bahia Under 17
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Brasileirão Under 17
  • Fixture: Vasco U17 vs Bahia Under 17
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.9%
  • xG (showing): Vasco U17 1.46 — Bahia Under 17 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasileirão Under 17 Brasileirão Under 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 13 1 2 40
2 Fluminense U17 17 11 3 3 36
3 RB Bragantino U17 16 10 2 4 32
4 Corinthians U17 16 9 3 4 30
5 Athletico Paranaense U17 16 8 4 4 28
6 Cruzeiro U17 16 8 4 4 28
7 Flamengo RJ U17 16 7 6 3 27
8 Fortaleza U17 16 8 3 5 27
9 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 7 5 4 26
10 Santos U17 16 7 3 6 24
11 San Paolo U17 16 5 8 3 23
12 Botafogo U17 17 6 4 7 22
13 Internacional U17 16 7 1 8 22
14 Vasco U17 16 5 4 7 19
15 Bahia Under 17 16 4 5 7 17
16 América MG U17 16 4 4 8 16
17 Juventude U17 16 3 4 9 13
18 Gremio U17 16 3 1 12 10
19 Vitória U17 16 2 1 13 7
20 Atlético Goianiense U17 16 1 0 15 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 47 21 +26 40
2 RB Bragantino U17 16 47 23 +24 32
3 Corinthians U17 16 42 18 +24 30
4 Fluminense U17 17 35 15 +20 36
5 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 35 21 +14 26
6 Athletico Paranaense U17 16 34 28 +6 28
7 Flamengo RJ U17 16 33 19 +14 27
8 Botafogo U17 17 31 38 -7 22
9 Bahia Under 17 16 28 28 0 17
10 América MG U17 16 26 23 +3 16
11 Cruzeiro U17 16 25 24 +1 28
12 Fortaleza U17 16 24 24 0 27
13 Vasco U17 16 23 21 +2 19
14 Santos U17 16 23 28 -5 24
15 San Paolo U17 16 21 16 +5 23
16 Internacional U17 16 20 29 -9 22
17 Juventude U17 16 15 39 -24 13
18 Gremio U17 16 14 43 -29 10
19 Atlético Goianiense U17 16 13 53 -40 3
20 Vitória U17 16 12 37 -25 7
Brasileirão Under 17 Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 Pronostici