Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 / Fortaleza U17 vs América MG U17

Fortaleza U17 vs América MG U17 Statistics & Analysis

Fortaleza U17 Fortaleza U17
Aug 18, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.45
1 1.15
xG Accuracy: 82%
América MG U17 América MG U17
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Fortaleza U17 Fortaleza U17 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 12, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3729403

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fortaleza U17 win · Fortaleza U17 2–1 América MG U17
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Brasileirão Under 17
  • Fixture: Fortaleza U17 vs América MG U17
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-18 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Fortaleza U17 1.45 — América MG U17 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasileirão Under 17 Brasileirão Under 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 13 1 2 40
2 Fluminense U17 17 11 3 3 36
3 RB Bragantino U17 16 10 2 4 32
4 Cruzeiro U17 17 9 4 4 31
5 Corinthians U17 16 9 3 4 30
6 Flamengo RJ U17 17 8 6 3 30
7 Athletico Paranaense U17 17 8 4 5 28
8 Santos U17 17 8 3 6 27
9 Fortaleza U17 17 8 3 6 27
10 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 7 5 4 26
11 San Paolo U17 17 5 9 3 24
12 Internacional U17 17 7 2 8 23
13 Botafogo U17 17 6 4 7 22
14 Vasco U17 17 5 5 7 20
15 Bahia Under 17 17 4 6 7 18
16 América MG U17 17 4 4 9 16
17 Juventude U17 17 4 4 9 16
18 Vitória U17 17 3 1 13 10
19 Gremio U17 17 3 1 13 10
20 Atlético Goianiense U17 17 1 0 16 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 47 21 +26 40
2 RB Bragantino U17 16 47 23 +24 32
3 Corinthians U17 16 42 18 +24 30
4 Flamengo RJ U17 17 36 20 +16 30
5 Fluminense U17 17 35 15 +20 36
6 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 35 21 +14 26
7 Athletico Paranaense U17 17 34 29 +5 28
8 Botafogo U17 17 31 38 -7 22
9 Santos U17 17 30 28 +2 27
10 Bahia Under 17 17 29 29 0 18
11 Cruzeiro U17 17 26 24 +2 31
12 América MG U17 17 26 24 +2 16
13 Vasco U17 17 24 22 +2 20
14 Fortaleza U17 17 24 31 -7 27
15 San Paolo U17 17 22 17 +5 24
16 Internacional U17 17 21 30 -9 23
17 Vitória U17 17 18 38 -20 10
18 Juventude U17 17 16 39 -23 16
19 Gremio U17 17 15 46 -31 10
20 Atlético Goianiense U17 17 14 59 -45 3
Brasileirão Under 17 Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 Pronostici