Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 / Gremio U17 vs Atlético Goianiense U17

Gremio U17 vs Atlético Goianiense U17 Statistics & Analysis

Gremio U17 Gremio U17
Jun 30, 2026 - 18:00
5 1.61
4 0.99
xG Accuracy: 17%
Atlético Goianiense U17 Atlético Goianiense U17
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Gremio U17 Gremio U17 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 5-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1607905

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gremio U17 win · Gremio U17 5–4 Atlético Goianiense U17
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Brasileirão Under 17
  • Fixture: Gremio U17 vs Atlético Goianiense U17
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-30 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 50.2% · Draw 28.0% · Away 21.7%
  • xG (showing): Gremio U17 1.61 — Atlético Goianiense U17 0.99 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.8% · No 48.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.8% · No 48.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasileirão Under 17 Brasileirão Under 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 13 1 2 40
2 Fluminense U17 17 11 3 3 36
3 RB Bragantino U17 16 10 2 4 32
4 Corinthians U17 16 9 3 4 30
5 Athletico Paranaense U17 16 8 4 4 28
6 Cruzeiro U17 16 8 4 4 28
7 Flamengo RJ U17 16 7 6 3 27
8 Fortaleza U17 16 8 3 5 27
9 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 7 5 4 26
10 Santos U17 16 7 3 6 24
11 San Paolo U17 16 5 8 3 23
12 Botafogo U17 17 6 4 7 22
13 Internacional U17 16 7 1 8 22
14 Vasco U17 16 5 4 7 19
15 Bahia Under 17 16 4 5 7 17
16 América MG U17 16 4 4 8 16
17 Juventude U17 16 3 4 9 13
18 Gremio U17 16 3 1 12 10
19 Vitória U17 16 2 1 13 7
20 Atlético Goianiense U17 16 1 0 15 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Palmeiras U17 16 47 21 +26 40
2 RB Bragantino U17 16 47 23 +24 32
3 Corinthians U17 16 42 18 +24 30
4 Fluminense U17 17 35 15 +20 36
5 Atlético Mineiro U17 16 35 21 +14 26
6 Athletico Paranaense U17 16 34 28 +6 28
7 Flamengo RJ U17 16 33 19 +14 27
8 Botafogo U17 17 31 38 -7 22
9 Bahia Under 17 16 28 28 0 17
10 América MG U17 16 26 23 +3 16
11 Cruzeiro U17 16 25 24 +1 28
12 Fortaleza U17 16 24 24 0 27
13 Vasco U17 16 23 21 +2 19
14 Santos U17 16 23 28 -5 24
15 San Paolo U17 16 21 16 +5 23
16 Internacional U17 16 20 29 -9 22
17 Juventude U17 16 15 39 -24 13
18 Gremio U17 16 14 43 -29 10
19 Atlético Goianiense U17 16 13 53 -40 3
20 Vitória U17 16 12 37 -25 7
Brasileirão Under 17 Brasile. Brasileirão Under 17 Pronostici