Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Baiano - Seconda Divisione / Camaçari vs Grapiuna Itabuna

Camaçari vs Grapiuna Itabuna Statistics & Analysis

Camaçari Camaçari
Jun 20, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.47
3 1.13
xG Accuracy: 52%
Grapiuna Itabuna Grapiuna Itabuna
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Camaçari Grapiuna Itabuna ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 12:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2513178

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Grapiuna Itabuna win · Camaçari 1–3 Grapiuna Itabuna
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Baiano - Seconda Divisione
  • Fixture: Camaçari vs Grapiuna Itabuna
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-20 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Camaçari 1.47 — Grapiuna Itabuna 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Baiano - Seconda Divisione Baiano - Seconda Divisione — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 21
3 Barreiras FC 9 7 0 2 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 19
5 Redenção FC 9 4 2 3 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 7
8 Grapiuna Itabuna 9 2 1 6 7
9 Vitória da Conquista 9 1 3 5 6
10 Camaçari 9 0 0 9 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 33 5 +28 25
2 Feira FC 9 27 4 +23 19
3 Barreiras FC 9 20 8 +12 21
4 SSA 9 19 5 +14 21
5 Redenção FC 9 16 11 +5 14
6 Leonico 9 16 24 -8 10
7 Vitória da Conquista 9 9 15 -6 6
8 Jacobina 9 9 23 -14 7
9 Grapiuna Itabuna 9 8 26 -18 7
10 Camaçari 9 5 41 -36 0