Drukpa vs Thimphu Statistics & Analysis

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Drukpa

Jul 07, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 75%

Thimphu

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Drukpa Thimphu ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 15:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1613473

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Thimphu win · Drukpa 1–2 Thimphu

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League Bhutan
Fixture: Drukpa vs Thimphu
Kickoff: 2026-07-07 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Drukpa 1.32 — Thimphu 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Bhutan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	17	12	4	1	40
3	Thimphu	17	10	1	6	31
4	Transport United	17	9	2	6	29
5	RTC	17	7	4	6	25
6	Drukpa	17	6	5	6	23
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	17	4	4	9	16
9	Tensung	17	2	2	13	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	1	1	15	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	17	49	12	+37	40
3	Drukpa	17	35	28	+7	23
4	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
5	Transport United	17	27	23	+4	29
6	Thimphu	17	26	21	+5	31
7	Tsirang	17	26	44	-18	16
8	RTC	17	24	19	+5	25
9	Tensung	17	13	48	-35	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	11	60	-49	4