Tensung vs Thimphu Statistics & Analysis

Jul 03, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.21
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Thimphu Thimphu ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 13:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1598132

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Thimphu win · Tensung 0–1 Thimphu
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Bhutan
  • Fixture: Tensung vs Thimphu
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-03 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Tensung 1.21 — Thimphu 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premier League Bhutan Premier League Bhutan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 40
3 Thimphu 17 10 1 6 31
4 Transport United 17 9 2 6 29
5 RTC 17 7 4 6 25
6 Drukpa 17 6 5 6 23
7 Bhutan U19 16 5 4 7 19
8 Tsirang 17 4 4 9 16
9 Tensung 17 2 2 13 8
10 Ugyen Academy 17 1 1 15 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Paro 16 66 12 +54 43
2 Thimphu City 17 49 12 +37 40
3 Drukpa 17 35 28 +7 23
4 Bhutan U19 16 28 38 -10 19
5 Transport United 17 27 23 +4 29
6 Thimphu 17 26 21 +5 31
7 Tsirang 17 26 44 -18 16
8 RTC 17 24 19 +5 25
9 Tensung 17 13 48 -35 8
10 Ugyen Academy 17 11 60 -49 4