Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Carioca A2 / Audax Rio vs Pérolas Negras

Audax Rio vs Pérolas Negras Statistics & Analysis

Audax Rio Audax Rio
Jun 14, 2026 - 17:45
0 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 64%
Pérolas Negras Pérolas Negras
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Pérolas Negras Pérolas Negras ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 18:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3203584

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pérolas Negras win · Audax Rio 0–1 Pérolas Negras
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Carioca A2
  • Fixture: Audax Rio vs Pérolas Negras
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 17:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Audax Rio 1.27 — Pérolas Negras 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Carioca A2 Carioca A2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Americano Campos 11 8 1 2 25
2 CFRJ / Maricá 11 7 3 1 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 19
4 América RJ 11 5 1 5 16
5 Pérolas Negras 11 5 1 5 16
6 São Gonçalo EC RJ 11 4 2 5 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12
10 CEAC / Araruama 11 3 2 6 11
11 Serrano RJ 11 2 5 4 11
12 Audax Rio 11 3 0 8 9
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Americano Campos 11 18 9 +9 25
2 América RJ 11 18 14 +4 16
3 Resende 11 16 9 +7 19
4 Cabofriense 11 12 13 -1 12
5 CFRJ / Maricá 11 11 7 +4 24
6 São Gonçalo EC RJ 11 11 10 +1 14
7 Olaria 11 11 11 0 13
8 Pérolas Negras 11 11 15 -4 16
9 CEAC / Araruama 11 11 15 -4 11
10 Bonsucesso 11 10 11 -1 14
11 Audax Rio 11 10 17 -7 9
12 Serrano RJ 11 10 18 -8 11