Khovd vs Deren Statistics & Analysis

Jun 18, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.18
6 1.42
xG Accuracy: 20%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Deren Deren ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 13:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1601601

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Deren win · Khovd 0–6 Deren
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League Mongolia
  • Fixture: Khovd vs Deren
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-18 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 14.7% · Draw 19.0% · Away 66.2%
  • xG (showing): Khovd 1.18 — Deren 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Premier League Mongolia Premier League Mongolia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 41
2 Tuv Azarganuud 16 12 3 1 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 6
9 Ulaangom City 16 1 1 14 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ulaanbaatar 16 65 9 +56 41
2 Khangarid 16 59 19 +40 33
3 Deren 16 57 16 +41 30
4 Tuv Azarganuud 16 54 14 +40 39
5 Hunters 16 44 27 +17 24
6 Khovd Western 16 29 36 -7 18
7 Khovd 16 28 73 -45 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 27 86 -59 6
9 Ulaangom City 16 16 99 -83 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0