Honka vs NJS Statistics & Analysis

Honka

Aug 08, 2026 - 13:00

7 1.34

0 1.26

xG Accuracy: 15%

NJS

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Honka Honka ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2815860

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Honka win · Honka 7–0 NJS

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Kakkonen - Gruppo B
Fixture: Honka vs NJS
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Honka 1.34 — NJS 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Kakkonen - Gruppo B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Honka	18	13	4	1	43
2	ÅIFK	18	12	3	3	39
3	EPS	18	10	2	6	32
4	HJS Akatemia	18	9	4	5	31
5	Ilves II	18	8	6	4	30
6	P-Iirot	18	8	3	7	27
7	GrIFK	18	7	3	8	24
8	EBK	18	4	3	11	15
9	Musa	18	3	3	12	12
10	NJS	18	0	1	17	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Honka	18	56	17	+39	43
2	Ilves II	18	51	30	+21	30
3	EPS	18	39	26	+13	32
4	ÅIFK	18	38	18	+20	39
5	HJS Akatemia	18	30	24	+6	31
6	P-Iirot	18	30	25	+5	27
7	EBK	18	27	43	-16	15
8	GrIFK	18	23	31	-8	24
9	Musa	18	19	55	-36	12
10	NJS	18	10	54	-44	1