Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Catarinense U20 / Chapecoense U20 vs Nação U20

Chapecoense U20 vs Nação U20 Statistics & Analysis

Chapecoense U20 Chapecoense U20
Jul 26, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.57
2 1.03
xG Accuracy: 68%
Nação U20 Nação U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Chapecoense U20 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1456796

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Chapecoense U20 2–2 Nação U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Catarinense U20
  • Fixture: Chapecoense U20 vs Nação U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-26 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 23.3%
  • xG (showing): Chapecoense U20 1.57 — Nação U20 1.03 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Catarinense U20 Catarinense U20 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Avaí Under 20 9 6 3 0 21
2 Barra SC U20 8 6 2 0 20
3 Criciúma U20 9 4 4 1 16
4 Chapecoense U20 9 4 2 3 14
5 Figueirense U20 9 3 4 2 13
6 Nação U20 8 2 3 4 9
7 Concórdia U20 8 2 3 3 9
8 Joinville U20 9 2 2 5 8
9 Carlos Renaux U20 10 2 2 6 8
10 Brusque U20 9 1 1 7 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Avaí Under 20 9 21 6 +15 21
2 Barra SC U20 8 21 9 +12 20
3 Criciúma U20 9 17 5 +12 16
4 Nação U20 8 17 17 0 9
5 Figueirense U20 9 15 10 +5 13
6 Chapecoense U20 9 14 15 -1 14
7 Joinville U20 9 10 20 -10 8
8 Brusque U20 9 10 25 -15 4
9 Concórdia U20 8 7 12 -5 9
10 Carlos Renaux U20 10 5 17 -12 8