Statistiche / Calcio / Finlandia. Kansallinen Liiga / Åland United vs VIFK W

Åland United vs VIFK W Statistics & Analysis

Jul 25, 2026 - 09:00
6 1.63
1 0.97
xG Accuracy: 30%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Åland United Åland United ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 6-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1453294

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Åland United win · Åland United 6–1 VIFK W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Kansallinen Liiga
  • Fixture: Åland United vs VIFK W
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-25 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 51.3% · Draw 27.8% · Away 20.9%
  • xG (showing): Åland United 1.63 — VIFK W 0.97 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.4% · No 48.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.4% · No 48.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Kansallinen Liiga Kansallinen Liiga — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 HJK 14 13 0 1 39
2 Åland United 14 9 1 4 28
3 KuPS Donne 14 9 1 4 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 24
5 Ilves 14 7 1 6 22
6 IF Gnistan 14 4 1 9 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 7
8 VIFK W 14 0 2 12 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Åland United 14 41 19 +22 28
2 HJK 14 38 9 +29 39
3 KuPS Donne 14 31 21 +10 28
4 Ilves 14 27 26 +1 22
5 IF Gnistan 14 21 32 -11 13
6 HPS W 14 19 15 +4 24
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 13 36 -23 7
8 VIFK W 14 8 40 -32 2