Statistiche / Calcio / Finlandia. Kansallinen Liiga / PK-35 Vantaa W vs KuPS Donne

PK-35 Vantaa W vs KuPS Donne Statistics & Analysis

Jun 12, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.13
2 1.47
xG Accuracy: 83%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 KuPS Donne KuPS Donne ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 13, 2026 · 16:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3863605

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result KuPS Donne win · PK-35 Vantaa W 1–2 KuPS Donne
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Kansallinen Liiga
  • Fixture: PK-35 Vantaa W vs KuPS Donne
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-12 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.5% · Draw 29.2% · Away 43.3%
  • xG (showing): PK-35 Vantaa W 1.13 — KuPS Donne 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Kansallinen Liiga Kansallinen Liiga — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 HJK 14 13 0 1 39
2 Åland United 14 9 1 4 28
3 KuPS Donne 14 9 1 4 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 24
5 Ilves 14 7 1 6 22
6 IF Gnistan 14 4 1 9 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 7
8 VIFK W 14 0 2 12 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Åland United 14 41 19 +22 28
2 HJK 14 38 9 +29 39
3 KuPS Donne 14 31 21 +10 28
4 Ilves 14 27 26 +1 22
5 IF Gnistan 14 21 32 -11 13
6 HPS W 14 19 15 +4 24
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 13 36 -23 7
8 VIFK W 14 8 40 -32 2