Statistiche / Calcio / Australia. NPL Territorio della Capitale / Canberra FC vs Brindabella

Canberra FC vs Brindabella Statistics & Analysis

Canberra FC Canberra FC
Jul 11, 2026 - 05:00
2 1.45
0 1.15
xG Accuracy: 63%
Brindabella Brindabella
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Canberra FC Canberra FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1459045

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Canberra FC win · Canberra FC 2–0 Brindabella
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NPL Territorio della Capitale
  • Fixture: Canberra FC vs Brindabella
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 05:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 57.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away 20.2%
  • xG (showing): Canberra FC 1.45 — Brindabella 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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NPL Territorio della Capitale NPL Territorio della Capitale — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Canberra FC 20 17 1 2 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 46
3 Cooma Tigers 20 14 2 4 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 9
10 Brindabella 20 3 0 17 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Monaro Panthers 20 71 26 +45 46
2 Canberra FC 20 64 24 +40 52
3 Cooma Tigers 20 59 24 +35 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 49 39 +10 42
5 Canberra Olympic 20 45 55 -10 23
6 Queanbeyan City 20 42 28 +14 38
7 Canberra Juventus 20 39 39 0 33
8 Belconnen United 20 25 50 -25 9
9 O'Connor Knights 20 24 39 -15 20
10 Canberra White Eagles 20 17 60 -43 7
11 Brindabella 20 15 66 -51 9