Statistiche / Calcio / Russia. Seconda Lega - Gruppo 2 Russia / Baltika II vs Cherepovets

Baltika II vs Cherepovets Statistics & Analysis

Baltika II Baltika II
Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.32
4 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
Cherepovets Cherepovets
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Baltika II Cherepovets ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8678917

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cherepovets win · Baltika II 1–4 Cherepovets
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Seconda Lega - Gruppo 2 Russia
  • Fixture: Baltika II vs Cherepovets
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Baltika II 1.32 — Cherepovets 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Lega - Gruppo 2 Russia Seconda Lega - Gruppo 2 Russia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Murom 21 14 2 5 44
1 Sevastopol 14 10 2 2 32
2 Dinamo San Pietroburgo 20 12 6 2 42
2 Shahter Taganrog 14 9 3 2 30
3 Luki-Energiya 21 12 6 3 42
3 Rostov II 14 9 2 3 29
4 Baltika II 21 12 4 5 40
4 Nart Čerkessk 14 7 3 4 24
5 Chertanovo Mosca 21 11 6 4 39
5 Kyzyltash 14 7 2 5 23
6 Torpedo Vladimir 20 9 5 6 32
6 Spartak Nalchik 14 6 5 3 23
7 Kosmos Dolgoprudny 21 8 4 9 28
7 Druzhba 14 6 4 4 22
8 FC Tver 21 7 3 11 24
8 Pobeda 14 6 3 5 21
9 Cherepovets 20 7 3 10 24
9 Rubin Yalta 14 5 5 4 20
10 Zvezda San Pietroburgo 20 5 9 6 24
10 Lugansk 14 4 3 7 15
11 Dinamo Vologda 20 6 5 9 23
11 Izberbash 14 5 0 9 15
12 Spartak Mosca II 21 6 5 10 23
12 Angust Nazran 14 4 1 9 13
13 Yenisey II 21 5 4 12 19
13 Astrakhan 14 3 3 8 12
14 Iskra Smolensk 21 3 6 12 15
14 Dynamo Makhachkala II 14 2 3 9 9
15 Irkutsk 21 3 2 16 11
15 FK Chayka 2 14 2 1 11 7
16 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Baltika II 21 42 23 +19 40
2 Chertanovo Mosca 21 39 18 +21 39
3 Luki-Energiya 21 36 18 +18 42
4 Murom 21 35 17 +18 44
5 Dinamo San Pietroburgo 20 32 10 +22 42
6 FC Tver 21 30 36 -6 24
7 Zvezda San Pietroburgo 20 29 29 0 24
8 Rostov II 14 28 14 +14 29
9 Dinamo Vologda 20 28 25 +3 23
10 Pobeda 14 26 16 +10 21
11 Torpedo Vladimir 20 25 20 +5 32
12 Shahter Taganrog 14 24 9 +15 30
13 Kosmos Dolgoprudny 21 24 30 -6 28
14 Sevastopol 14 23 9 +14 32
15 Yenisey II 21 23 40 -17 19
16 Kyzyltash 14 22 17 +5 23
17 Spartak Nalchik 14 21 10 +11 23
18 Spartak Mosca II 21 21 27 -6 23
19 Cherepovets 20 21 32 -11 24
20 Nart Čerkessk 14 19 10 +9 24
21 Iskra Smolensk 21 19 44 -25 15
22 Rubin Yalta 14 17 13 +4 20
23 Druzhba 14 17 14 +3 22
24 Lugansk 14 15 22 -7 15
25 Izberbash 14 13 36 -23 15
26 Astrakhan 14 12 20 -8 12
27 Irkutsk 21 11 46 -35 11
28 Dynamo Makhachkala II 14 10 26 -16 9
29 FK Chayka 2 14 10 32 -22 7
30 Angust Nazran 14 7 16 -9 13
31 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0
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