Statistiche / Calcio / Russia. Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia / Izberbash vs Nart Čerkessk

Izberbash vs Nart Čerkessk Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Izberbash
Sep 26, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.18
1 1.42
xG Accuracy: 85%
Nart Čerkessk Nart Čerkessk
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Nart Čerkessk Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10088026

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Izberbash 1–1 Nart Čerkessk
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia
  • Fixture: Izberbash vs Nart Čerkessk
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): Izberbash 1.18 — Nart Čerkessk 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sevastopol 21 16 2 3 50
2 Shahter Taganrog 21 14 4 3 46
3 Rostov II 21 14 4 3 46
4 Rubin Yalta 20 9 7 4 34
5 Pobeda 20 10 3 7 33
6 Kyzyltash 21 9 4 8 31
7 Nart Čerkessk 20 9 3 8 30
8 Spartak Nalchik 20 7 7 6 28
9 Druzhba 20 7 6 7 27
10 Lugansk 21 6 6 9 24
11 Astrakhan 20 5 5 10 20
12 Izberbash 21 6 0 15 18
13 Angust Nazran 20 4 4 12 16
14 FK Chayka 2 21 4 2 15 14
15 Dynamo Makhachkala II 21 3 5 13 14
16 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Rostov II 21 45 16 +29 46
2 Shahter Taganrog 21 42 20 +22 46
3 Sevastopol 21 38 17 +21 50
4 Pobeda 20 38 27 +11 33
5 Kyzyltash 21 36 30 +6 31
6 Rubin Yalta 20 29 19 +10 34
7 Nart Čerkessk 20 27 19 +8 30
8 Spartak Nalchik 20 27 20 +7 28
9 Lugansk 21 24 30 -6 24
10 Druzhba 20 23 25 -2 27
11 Astrakhan 20 22 32 -10 20
12 Dynamo Makhachkala II 21 19 39 -20 14
13 Izberbash 21 19 57 -38 18
14 FK Chayka 2 21 17 43 -26 14
15 Angust Nazran 20 9 21 -12 16
16 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0
Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia Russia. Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia Pronostici