Statistiche / Calcio / Russia. Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia / Shahter Taganrog vs Izberbash

Shahter Taganrog vs Izberbash Statistics & Analysis

Jun 27, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 44%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Shahter Taganrog Shahter Taganrog ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 16:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3448230

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Shahter Taganrog win · Shahter Taganrog 3–0 Izberbash
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia
  • Fixture: Shahter Taganrog vs Izberbash
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Shahter Taganrog 1.32 — Izberbash 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 Russia Seconda Lega - Gruppo 1 RussiaClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sevastopol 20 15 2 3 47
2 Shahter Taganrog 20 14 3 3 45
3 Rostov II 20 13 4 3 43
4 Rubin Yalta 20 9 7 4 34
5 Kyzyltash 20 9 4 7 31
6 Pobeda 19 9 3 7 30
7 Spartak Nalchik 19 7 7 5 28
8 Nart Čerkessk 19 8 3 8 27
9 Druzhba 19 6 6 7 24
10 Lugansk 20 6 5 9 23
11 Astrakhan 19 5 4 10 19
12 Izberbash 20 6 0 14 18
13 Angust Nazran 19 4 4 11 16
14 FK Chayka 2 20 4 2 14 14
15 Dynamo Makhachkala II 20 3 4 13 13
16 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Rostov II 20 43 16 +27 43
2 Shahter Taganrog 20 41 19 +22 45
3 Sevastopol 20 36 16 +20 47
4 Pobeda 19 36 26 +10 30
5 Kyzyltash 20 35 28 +7 31
6 Rubin Yalta 20 29 19 +10 34
7 Spartak Nalchik 19 27 19 +8 28
8 Nart Čerkessk 19 26 19 +7 27
9 Lugansk 20 23 29 -6 23
10 Druzhba 19 22 25 -3 24
11 Astrakhan 19 21 31 -10 19
12 Dynamo Makhachkala II 20 18 38 -20 13
13 Izberbash 20 18 55 -37 18
14 FK Chayka 2 20 17 41 -24 14
15 Angust Nazran 19 9 20 -11 16
16 PSK Dinskaya 0 0 0 0 0