Statistiche / Calcio / Irlanda del Nord. Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord / Crusaders W vs Larne Donne

Crusaders W vs Larne Donne Statistics & Analysis

Crusaders W Crusaders W
Sep 04, 2026 - 19:00
3 1.45
0 1.15
xG Accuracy: 48%
Larne Donne Larne Donne
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Crusaders W Crusaders W ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 03:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5929918

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Crusaders W win · Crusaders W 3–0 Larne Donne
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord
  • Fixture: Crusaders W vs Larne Donne
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Crusaders W 1.45 — Larne Donne 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord Premiership Femminile dell'Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Crusaders W 5 3 1 1 10
2 Glentoran BU W 3 3 0 0 9
3 Cliftonville W 3 3 0 0 9
4 Linfield Donne 3 2 0 1 6
5 Derry City W 5 2 0 3 6
6 Lisburn 8 1 1 6 4
7 Larne Donne 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Glentoran BU W 3 17 0 +17 9
2 Linfield Donne 3 16 3 +13 6
3 Cliftonville W 3 15 2 +13 9
4 Crusaders W 5 11 11 0 10
5 Derry City W 5 10 12 -2 6
6 Lisburn 8 5 27 -22 4
7 Larne Donne 5 4 23 -19 2